Showing 1 - 10 of 18,966
This paper is concerned with inflation targeting as a potential monetary policy objective in a developing economy … short-run inflation targets. It is found that due to the particular cross-sectional properties of the relative … concerned with the choice of alternative indicators of inflation and their statistical properties. These alternative measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005752758
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
In the paper we have investigated to what extent the behaviour of CPI inflation depends on changes in domestic economic … price indices respond to exchange rate movements and/or foreign inflation. The impact of exchange rate is most substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667394
Countries in which inflation targeting has been adopted require high quality inflation forecasts. The Polish National … Bank adopted a variant of implicit inflation targeting and therefore the ability to forecast inflation is critically … important to policy makers. Since the domestic price formation process is still evolving, medium term inflation forecasting is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961523
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
Ethiopia has experienced a historically unprecedented increase in inflation, mainly driven by cereal price inflation … models to identify the relative importance of several factors contributing to overall inflation and its three major … supply shocks and inflation inertia strongly affect domestic inflation, causing large deviations from long-run price trends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004400
We analyze short-run dynamics of inflation in Ethiopia, using a parsimonious error-correction model fitted with monthly … observations. Our findings show that increased money supply and the nominal exchange rate significantly affect inflation in the … inflation effectively. To circumvent an extreme tightening with discouraging impacts on growth, additional measures are needed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062993
Over the past 25 years inflation has moderated considerably in all OECD economies. At the same time, the production of …-OECD economies has risen markedly. This paper investigates the extent to which the observed changes in the inflation process can be … inflation to domestic economic conditions has declined whereas the sensitivity to foreign economic conditions has risen, working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046203
level of inflation we note important regime dependence in the inflation response to monetary policy shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594197
The rational expectations hypothesis for survey and model-based inflation forecasts − from the Survey of Professional … data. The finding of near-unit-root effects in the inflation and inflation expectations series motivates the use of a local …-to-unity specification of the inflation process that enables us to test whether the data are generated by locally non-stationary or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855242