Showing 1 - 10 of 116
C<sc>respo</sc> C<sc>uaresma</sc> J., D<sc>oppelhofer</sc> G. and F<sc>eldkircher</sc> M. The determinants of economic growth in European regions, <italic>Regional Studies</italic>. This paper uses Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to find robust determinants of economic growth between 1995 and 2005 in a new data set of 255 European regions. It finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976746
We evaluate the monetary determinants of inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia by using the McCallum rule for money supply. The deviation of actual money growth from the rule is included in the estimation of Phillips curves for the four economies by Bayesian model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543861
This paper puts forward a Bayesian version of the global vector autoregressive model (B-GVAR) that accommodates international linkages across countries in a system of vector autoregressions. We compare the predictive performance of B-GVAR models for the one- and four-quarter ahead forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015323
We use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to evaluate the robustness of determinants of economic growth in a new dataset of 255 European regions in the 1995-2005 period. We use three different specifications based on (1) the cross-section of regions, (2) the cross-section of regions with country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005432659
In this paper we analyze the impact of three U.S. structural shocks on, and its transmission 0to, the world economy. For that purpose we use a Bayesian version of the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model coupled with a prior specification that explicitly treats uncertainty regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885208
We analyze how modeling international dependencies improves forecasts for the global economy based on a Bayesian GVAR with SSVS prior and stochastic volatility. To analyze the source of performance gains, we decompose the predictive joint density into its marginals and a copula term capturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212218
This paper puts forward a Bayesian version of the global vector autoregressive model (B-GVAR) that accommodates international linkages across countries in a system of vec- tor autoregressions. We compare the predictive performance of B-GVAR models for the one- and four-quarter ahead forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075917
We analyze how modeling international dependencies improves forecasts for the global economy based on a Bayesian GVAR with SSVS prior and stochastic volatility. To analyze the source of performance gains, we decompose the predictive joint density into its marginals and a copula term capturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010107434
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011006435