We examine the empirical properties of the payoffs to two popular currency speculation strategies: the carry trade and momentum. We review three possible explanations for the apparent profitability of these strategies. The first is that speculators are being compensated for bearing risk. The...

The monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has a policy of controlling bank lending in Singapore dollars to non-residents and residents outside Singapore. One of the objectives of this MAS policy is to discourage speculation against the Singapore dollar in times of currency crisis. The present...

China has undergone a deep, although gradual, process of reform of its financial system and exchange rate regime while avoiding large speculative inflows and uncontrolled real appreciation through non-monetary anti-inflationary policies, low interest rates and capital account controls. These...

This paper studies the optimal asset allocation problem of an investor with a portfolio given by the U.S. risk-free asset and a carry trade benchmark comprising the currencies of the G10 countries. Our optimal strategy is able to adapt to macroeconomic conditions and avoid the so-called crash...