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By analysing data from January 2007 to December 2012 in a panel GLS error correction framework we find that European … countries’ sovereign CDS spreads are largely driven by global investor sentiment, macroeconomic fundamentals and liquidity … drop in liquidity and a spike in risk aversion contributed to high spreads in Central and Eastern and South …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142168
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Large fiscal financing needs, both in advanced and emerging market economies, have often been met by borrowing heavily from domestic banks. As public debt approached sustainability limits in a number of countries, however, high bank exposure to sovereign risk created a fragile inter-dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878417
Portugal's economy faced severe crisis during the global economic and financial crisis. In this context, Portugal's authorities have put forward an economically well-balanced program that will focus on structural reforms to boost growth and employment, ensure balanced fiscal sustainability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244580
, consequently, in fitting the post-1994 period. In particular, liquidity indicators are significant in explaining our definition of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263954
We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826111
Increasing emphasis has been placed on the need for an effective lender of last resort for sovereign states and on procedures for sovereign debt restructuring to help cope with global financial crises. Where private creditors use short-term debt to check sovereign debtor’s moral hazard, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826369
This paper evaluates empirically four types of cost that may result from an international sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the domestic economy through the financial system, and political costs to the authorities. It finds that the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769045
Using data on syndicated loan issuances by emerging market firms, we find that an increase in the external debt of emerging market governments significantly raises the borrowing costs of the domestic corporate sector. This finding suggests that a higher level of public external debt "crowds out"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497605