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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004103040
oil market is characterized by volatility persistence, (2) a negative shock has more impact on future volatility than an … equal positive shock, (3) crude oil volatility is lower at higher prices, (4) OPEC meeting announcements and the Petroleum … employ an improved procedure for testing and quantifying the hypothesized volatility determinants within GARCH type model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267767
This paper explores financial market convergence in East African economies by analysing the long-run volatility trends … in the currencies of this region. In particular, a Component-GARCH model is estimated, which is able to distinguish short …- and long-run volatility dynamics. Common movement of the long-run component is in turn used to infer if financial and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010850540
While flexible exchange rates facilitate stabilisation, exchange rate fluctuations can cause real volatility. This … gives policy importance to the causal relationship between exchange rate depreciation and its volatility. An exchange rate … this: depreciation makes exchange rate more volatile for all but volatility does not causes depreciation in Tanzania which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553657
exchange market volatility. Due to increases in market uncertainty, crisis periods exhibit abnormally high levels of volatility …. By studying short-term changes in volatility dynamics, it is possible to identify the start- and end-dates of crisis … the volatility of rand returns between January 1994 and March 2009. Dummy variables controlling for the detected shifts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004191853
This Mundell Fleming lecture at the International Monetary Fund’s 2001 annual research conference marks the 25th anniversary of Rudiger Dornbusch’s masterpiece, “Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics,” a seminal contribution to both policy and research in the field of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826493
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767377
This Selected Issues paper reviews indicators for external competitiveness in Hungary. The paper examines recent developments in a range of indicators. These include regional comparisons of wage and unit labor cost developments, and standard indicators based on price and cost-based measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768632
The IMF's internal analysis of exchange rate issues has been guided by, and limited by, the conceptual and empirical frameworks that have emerged from the collective research of the economics profession. The research has provided several general approaches that are useful for assessing whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590920