This paper proposes a Near Explosive Random-Coefficient autoregressive model for asset pricing which accommodates both the fundamental asset value and the recurrent presence of autonomous deviations or bubbles. Such a process can be stationary with or without fat tails, unit-root nonstationary...

This paper proposes a Near Explosive Random-Coefficient autoregressive model for asset pricing which accommodates both the fundamental asset value and the recurrent presence of autonomous deviations or bubbles. Such a process can be stationary with or without fat tails, unit-root nonstationary...

We derive a simple semi-parametric estimator of the “direct” Average Derivative, δ=E(D[m(x)]), where m(x) is the regression function and S, the support of the density of x is compact. We partition S into disjoint bins and the local slope D[m(x)] within these bins is estimated by using...

The popular perception about economic reforms having benefitted only the richer districts of India between 1999/2000 and 2004/2005 is investigated. Using the spatial dynamics of district-level per-capita income it was found that income distribution did not change between the years examined. It...

In an effort to stimulate more attractive football, the international football association FIFA, has recently introduced the "sudden death" or "golden goal" rule for games going into extra time play. This paper analyses under which conditions, if any, the introduction of the sudden death rule...

We introduce a new nonparametric approach for estimating a simple varying coeffcient model with a unit root nonstationarity. Our method is based on a piecewise local least squares principle and is computationally simple to implement. We establish its asymptotic properties and evaluate its...

We construct a zero net-worth uninformed "naive investor" who uses a random portfolio allocation strategy. We then compare the returns of the momentum strategist to the return distribution of naive investors. For this purpose we reward momentum profits relative to the return percentiles of the...

An optimal education subsidy formula is derived using an overlapping generations model with parental altruism. The model predicts that public education subsidy is greater in economies with lesser parental altruism because a benevolent government has to compensate for the shortfall in private...