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Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account … counterfactuals for the case of a finite number of treatments, and illustrate these using a simple set-theoretical framework. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761646
This paper examines the impact of uncertainty on estimated response of stock returns to U.S. monetary policy surprise. This is motivated by the Lucas island model which suggests an inverse relationship between the effectiveness of a policy and the level of uncertainty in the economy. Using high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906233
This paper applies the Becker-Murphy (1988) theory of rational addiction to the case of carbonated soft drinks, using a time-varying parameter model and scanner data from 46 U.S. cities. Empirical results provide strong evidence that carbonated soft drinks are rationally addictive, thus opening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010913439
We examine whether and how selected central banks responded to episodes of financial stress over the last three decades. We employ a new monetary-policy rule estimation methodology which allows for time-varying response coefficients and corrects for endogeneity. This flexible framework applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727089
In this paper, we estimate the time-varying response of foreign stock markets to U.S. monetary policy shocks derived from the high-frequency Federal funds futures market. Our results show significant time-variation in the response of the global equity markets to U.S. monetary policy surprises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747593
The causal link between tourism receipts and GDP has recently become a major focus in the tourism economics literature. Results obtained in recent studies about the causal link appear to be sensitive with respect to the countries analysed, sample period and methodology employed. Considering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781440
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to apply the Becker-Murphy theory of rational addiction to the case of carbonated soft drinks. The research aims to reveal the rational addiction evidence of carbonated soft drinks and derive policy implications under this evidence. Consumers' rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583925
We examine the evolution of monetary policy rules in a group of inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) applying moment-based estimator at time-varying parameter model with endogenous regressors. Using this novel flexible framework, our main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765131
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776361