We document empirical support for the 'house money' effect proposed by Thaler and Johnson (1990). Market makers for Taiwan' TAIEX index options tend to take above-average risks in afternoon trading after above-average morning gains. The fraction of market makers with better-than-average morning...

In this paper we investigate the distribution of futures market returns and volumes. A variety of contracts are selected from agriculture, foreign exchange, industrial, equity, and interest rate market sectors. Daily closing prices and volumes are used to construct two series of data...

We study the trading behavior of individual investors using the Trade and Quotes (TAQ) and Institute for the Study of Security Markets (ISSM) transaction data over the period 1983 to 2001. We document four results: (1) Order imbalance based on buyer- and sellerinitiated small trades from the...

This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic fundamentals on emerging market sovereign credit spreads. We find that the volatility of terms of trade in particular has a statistically and economically significant effect on spreads. This is robust to instrumenting terms of trade with a...

This paper proposes a simple structural model to estimate the term structure of sovereign spreads and the implied default probability of a selected group of emerging countries, which accounts for more than 50% of the J. P. Morgan EMBIG index.The real exchange rate dynamics, modeled as a pure...

In this paper, we develop and experiment an intensity based multi-factor model, which incorporates the joint modelling of default, prepayment and recovery risks. In this way, the model provides a link between the credit default swap (CDS) and the loan-only credit default swap (LCDS) markets. The...

Although there is a lack of consensus regarding derivatives and the development of sharia-compliant funds to mimic hedge funds in order to tap the global surplus liquidity especially the Gulf petrodollar, sharia scholars are generally agreeable that hedging is permissible and necessary as a risk...

In this paper, we introduce a new robust model for modelling and pricing LCDX tranches. We extend the generic one-factor model of [1], which was developed for modelling and pricing of a synthetic CDO of CDSs, to a model for tranched portfolio of loan-only CDSs (LCDSs). The essential difference...

We conjecture that an introduction of the Hong Kong Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise Stock Index (H-share Index) futures induces additional speculating activities in the underlying equities, leading to an increase in volatility and volume of the underlying stocks. Whereas, a subsequent introduction...

The non-recombining implied tree is calibrated taking into account serial dependence of stock returns. Effectively, the model becomes non-Markovian. Unlike typical preference-free option pricing models, a parameter related to the expected return of the underlying asset appears in our model. We...