Investigations into value-based 'anomalies' such as the P/E effect typically sort shares into quintiles, or at most deciles. These are blunt instruments. We test whether most of the extra value to be found in the lower end of the P/E spectrum is to be found in the very lowest P/E shares, and...

The price-earnings effect has been thoroughly documented and widely studied around the world. However, in existing research it has almost exclusively been calculated on the basis of the previous year's earnings. We show that the power of the effect has until now been seriously underestimated,...

The price-earnings ratio is a widely used measure of the expected performance of companies, and it has almost invariably been calculated as the ratio of the current share price to the previous year's earnings. However, the P/E of a particular stock is partly determined by outside influences such...

Following early failures, more recent empirical evidence has suggested that timing entries to and exits from equity markets may be feasible. A number of approaches to this most basic form of dynamic asset allocation are available, but which works best? This study investigates the relative...

In this paper we test for the presence of periodically partially collapsing, positive and negative speculative bubbles in the Samp;P 500 Composite Index for the period 1888-2003. We extend existing regime - Switching models of speculative behavior by including abnormal volume as an indicator of...

This paper investigates whether the prices of UK equity-traded property stocks over the past fifteen years contain evidence of a speculative bubble. Speculative bubbles are generated when investors include the expectation of the future price in their information set. In the presence of...

Many recent studies have documented the presence of speculative bubbles, defined as systematic and increasing deviations of actual prices from fundamentals, in asset prices. However, thus far the usefulness of such models has been examined in the literature only from a statistical perspective....