Stock returns in emerging markets are to some extent predictable on the basis of selected instrument variables. We show that local information is more important than global information to capture emerging stock market returns. This is an indication for at least partial segmentation of emerging...

This paper, which is motivated by the literature on international asset pricing and recent work on exchange rate determination, investigates dynamic relationshiops between major currency and equity markets. Using a multivariate GARCH framework, we examine conditional cross- autocorrelations...

This paper studies the cross-autocorrelation structure in the German and Turkish stock markets by using daily portfolio returns. We find the evidence that large cap portfolios lead small cap portfolios in both subperiods of German stock market but this structure is seen only in the first...

The decomposition of national CAPM market betas of European countries’ value and growth portfolio returns into cashflow and discount rate news driven components reveals that i) high average returns on value portfolios are associated with disproportionately high sensitivity to national cashflow...

We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...

We examine the performance of technical trading rules in Chinese domestic A-share and foreign B-share markets. After controlling for non-synchronous trading and transaction costs, we find evidence to support the predictability and profitability of some of the most popular technical trading rules...

In this paper, we study the returns of emerging market stocks that are included in the MSCI Emerging Markets index, a widely used benchmark for investment funds. Our sample consists of 269 stocks from 24 countries that were added to the index and 262 stocks that were deleted. We find convincing...

This paper attempts to uncover the determinants of the dealer bid-ask spread in the foreign exchange market. Prior research has examined the Huang–Masulis model wherein the spread is modelled as a function of dealer competition and volatility. We first extend this model to a much larger...

We implement an agent-based financial market model simulation in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. We consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change their trading behaviour....

We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and return over the past 140 years of one of the most popular mechanical trading strategies — momentum. We find that momentum has earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns — a...