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We test the widely held assumption that longer restructurings are more costly. In contrast to earlier studies, we use instrumental variables to control for the endogeneity of restructuring time and creditor return. Instrumenting proves critical to our finding that creditor recovery rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727157
In recent years, a number of papers have established a new empirical regularity. Stocks of distressed firms vastly underperform those of financially healthy firms. It is not necessary to attribute the negative excess returns of distressed firms to inefficient or irrational markets. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734877
I find that approximately 40 percent of the momentum profit is generated by firms that are delisted from the market during the holding period, although the proportion of these firms in the momentum portfolio is around 10 percent. Most of the delisting-profit is derived from bankrupt firms, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735389
The basic results of Vassalou and Xing (J.Finance 2004) held in the UK over the period 1970-1989: high default risk companies earned a substantial premium, this is concentrated among small stocks, conversely the size effect appears primarily among high default risk stocks and the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012737918
This paper investigates the market and accounting based valuation effects of troubled debt restructurings (TDR) in financially distressed debtor firms. I first rely on extant valuation theories to predict the impact of a TDR on shareholders' wealth. Next, some empirical evidence on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774462
We describe a class of quantitative credit risk models that take account of the unavoidable gaps in investors' information. These incomplete information models are structural/reduced form hybrids. They combine the best features of both traditional approaches while avoiding many of their shortcomings
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774506
We examine how the market's ability to assess the truthfulness of management earnings forecasts affects how managers bias their forecasts, and we evaluate whether the market's response to management forecasts is consistent with it identifying predictable forecast bias. We find managers'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784825
The standard measures of distress risk ignore the fact that firm defaults are correlated and that some defaults are more likely to occur in bad times. We use risk premium computed from corporate credit spreads to measure a firm's exposure to systematic variation in default risk. Unlike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705972
We consider the infinite time-horizon optimal basket portfolio liquidation problem for a von Neumann-Morgenstern investor in a multi-asset extension of the liquidity model of Almgren (2003) with cross-asset impact. Using a stochastic control approach, we establish a quot;separation theoremquot;:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707356
We find a positive cross-sectional relationship between expected stock returns and default risk, contrary to the negative relationship estimated by prior studies. Whereas prior studies use noisy ex post realized returns to estimate expected returns, we use ex ante estimates based on the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707812