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Substantial attention has been paid in recent years to the risk of maturity mismatch in emerging markets. Although this risk is microeconomic in nature, the evidence advanced thus far has taken the form of macro correlations. We evaluate this mechanism empirically at the micro level by using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736844
The neoclassical q-theory is a good start to understand the cross section of returns. Under constant return to scale, stock returns equal levered investment returns that are tied directly with characteristics. This equation generates the relations of average returns with book-to-market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721638
We use a fully-specified neoclassical model augmented with costly external equity as a laboratory to study the relations between stock returns and equity financing decisions. Simulations show that the model can simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduce: procyclical equity issuance;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721697
In this teaching note I list some suggestions that might be useful to take into account when forecasting financial statements departing from historical data. The ideas presented in this note are the result of advising undergraduate and graduate students in the course Econ 195.96/295.96...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721709
This paper investigates real options behavior in capital budgeting decisions using a firm-level panel data set of U.S. companies in the manufacturing sector. Specifically, this paper looks are the relationship between the firm's investment to capital ratio and total firm uncertainty, measured as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721738
Investment-based asset pricing uses the link between stock and investment returns to tie expected returns with firm characteristics. I derive the equivalence between these two returns in the Q-framework with variable capacity utilization, proportional operating costs, irreversible investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721815
The q-theory implies that investment is a first-order determinant of the cross section of expected returns, and that optimal investment drives the external financing anomalies. Our neoclassical model simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduces: Procyclical equity issuance waves;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721898
We use a simple model to outline the conditions under which corporate investment is sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key prediction is that stock prices have a stronger impact on the investment of quot;equity dependentquot; firms - firms that need external equity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722122
This paper examines the relative magnitude of financial versus real frictions by looking at how firms react to cash shortfalls. We use a regression discontinuity design in which the discontinuity is the point of violation of underfunding of corporate defined benefit pension plans. We reexamine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722732
Geometric mean reversion plays a fundamental role in economic dynamic models. While it is known, at least since Merton (1975) [9], that the equilibrium distribution of geometric mean reversion is a Gamma distribution, an explicit expression for the non-equilibrium distribution has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725804