Academia takes interest in cyclicality of real estate market. Compared to various findings on housing cycles, no literature takes insight into the cycles of securitized property markets. To address the issue, a nonlinear model is developed to probe into the characteristics of cycles in global...

In China, the real estate sector has been one of the most powerful driving forces in economic development over the past two decades. The housing sector, particularly, has a strong wealth effect on consumption. This has attracted much attention not only in academia but also in society at large....

As housing markets have overheated recently in urban China, housing price bears substantial risk. The issue of housing price bubbles in these markets has become a popular and significant topic among consumers, policymakers and academia alike. In particular, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, as the most...

ERES:conference

The property market in Hong Kong has been playing an essential role in the political, social and economic lives in this vibrant city. Understanding the volatility of this market is important to guide government policy making and investment decisions. Using data collected between 1986 and 2006,...

Since the urban land reform in late 1980s, the land and property market have been gradually established in China. Despite of a fast growing literature on this emerging market, quantitative analysis of the land value determination mechanism has been scarce. Using a unique data set of land sales...

In this paper, we extend the Merton's structured approach to incomplete market economy, in which investors may have irrational or distorted belief about the corporate's future cash flow. Our theoretical model implies irrational belief generates an additional risk. In detail, as distorted belief...

In this paper the inflation hedging characteristics of Hong Kong real estate market are examined using 1998-2006 data. Both short-term and long-term methods are used. The short-term method follows Fama and Schwert framework. To separate expected and unexpected inflation rate from nominal...

Motivated by the valuation of a leasehold property in relative to a comparable freehold property under different land lease policy scenarios, this paper attempts to offer an explanation to the premium fetched by a freehold property as well as an explanation to the variations of the premium...

The property market in Hong Kong plays an important role in the political, social and economic life of this vibrant city. Understanding the dynamics of the market is essential to guide government policy making and investment decisions. Using data collected between 1993 and 2006, this study...