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/or stochastic structural breaks. We detect significant differences across countries. Cointegration between the Euribor and the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942508
This paper studies the interaction between the business cycle and the credit market. A first result is that the business cycle has procyclical effects on different types of credit (i.e., consumer, commercial and mortgage loans). The results area obtained through the identification of structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553255
January 2004 to March 2010. Using Johansen cointegration and Granger causality tests on monthly data we investigate long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195305
cointegration analysis and proposing some Vector Autoregressive models. Finally, we asses the cointegration between the interbank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258912
framework of cointegration. However, parts of this approach have been questioned recently, as the adjustment mechanism may not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787226
The EMS crisis of 1992-1993, which resulted in the widening of the exchange rate bands, may have had some impact on the long-run structure of the system consisting of daily 1-month-Eurorates on German Mark, US-Dollar and French Franc. First, we find that both the US Eurorate and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968284
This paper deals with simultaneous interactions between the determinants of the US yield curve. For this purpose, we derive a multivariate unobserved components model based on the expectation hypothesis. The influencing factors of the term structure that arise from the structural model are a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897015
series where one would normally be expected on economic theory grounds. Among these are the testing procedure (e.g., Engle …)), and the presence of cointegration only beyond some threshold (Balke and Fomby (1996)). In this paper we propose the … concept of regime sensitive cointegration whereby the underlying series need not be cointegrated at all times. We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005404478
cointegration of Portuguese rates and the "puzzle" well known in the literature: although its forecasts of future short-term rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616562
instability tests recently proposed in Kejriwal and Perron (2009) as well as the cointegration test in Arai and Kurozumi (2007 …) and Kejriwal (2008) developed to allow for multiple breaks under the null hypothesis of cointegration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616551