We prove that if a global solution of the equation dXt = a(Xt) dBt, X0 = x exists for some x [epsilon] and [integral operator][infinity]0 a2(Xs)ds = [infinity], then one must have a [not equal to] 0 a.e.

We consider the problem of recovering the risk-neutral probability distribution of the price of an asset, when the information available consists of the market price of derivatives of European type having the asset as underlying. The information available may or may not include the spot value of...

In this work we present two different numerical methods to determine the probability of ultimate ruin as a function of the initial surplus. Both methods use moments obtained from the Pollaczek–Kinchine identity for the Laplace transform of the probability of ultimate ruin. One method uses...

In a previous paper we studied a method to determine the probability density of barrier crossing times by a Brownian motion from the knowledge of its Laplace transform. This knowledge combined with the method of maximum entropy yields quite good reconstructions. The aim of this work is to extend...

We study the relationship between two widely used risk measures, spectral measures and distortion risk measures. In both cases, the risk measure can be thought of as a re-weighting of some initial distribution. We prove that spectral risk measures are equivalent to distorted risk pricing...

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility models that uses opening and closing prices along with...

Here we present an application of two maxentropic procedures to determine the probability density distribution of compound sums of random variables, using only a finite number of empirically determined fractional moments. The two methods are the Standard method of Maximum Entropy (SME), and the...

In Gzyl and Mayoral (2008) we developed a technique to solve the following type of problems: How to determine a risk aversion function equivalent to pricing a risk with a load, or equivalent to pricing different risks by means of the same risk distortion function. The information on which the...

The maximum entropy principle provides a variational method to select a measure yielding pre-assigned mean values to a random variable. It can also be invoked to construct measures that render a stochastic process a martingale, thus providing a systematic way of constructing risk-neutral...

We solve a natural inverse problem for transition probabilities for Markov chains on rooted trees using hitting time distribution for leaves. Our solution is algorithmic and the natural statistics associated to our algorithm are consistent.