This paper uses the average of the percentile ranking of three measures of systemic risk - Granger Causality, Marginal Expected Shortfall, and Conditional Value at Risk - to calculate a single systemic risk index (SRI) for a lrm. The SRI is used to identify systemically important lrms (SIFs)...

This paper addresses an important and challenging issue as how best to model nonlinear asymmetric dynamics and cross-sectional heterogeneity, simultaneously, in the dynamic threshold panel data framework, in which both threshold variable and regressors are allowed to be endogenous. Depending on...

In this paper, we aim at forecasting the stochastic volatility of key financial market variables with the Kalman filter using stochastic models developed by Taylor (1986,1994) and Nelson (1990). First, we compare a stochastic volatility model relying on the Kalman filter to the conditional...

Equity risk premiums are a central component of every risk and return model in finance and are a key input into estimating costs of equity and capital in both corporate finance and valuation. Given their importance, it is surprising how haphazard the estimation of equity risk premiums remains in...

In this paper I examine how the protection of creditors' rights influence the way in which foreign bank entry affects the access to credit of firms. Using a sample of more than 6000 firms in 22 transition countries I find that as bankruptcy proceedings become more inefficient foreign bank entry...

There is no consensus in the literature as to which model should be used to estimate the stock returns and the cost of capital in the emerging markets. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that is most often used for this purpose in the developed markets has a poor empirical record and is...

This paper attempts to distinguish hedging versus speculative derivative usage by U.S. bank holding companies, and whether that has implications for future performance. This is accomplished by implementing a multi-step procedure that relates the implied volatility from traded options on these...

Suppose risk-averse managers can hedge the aggregate component of their exposure to firm's cash flow risk by trading in financial markets, but cannot hedge their firm-specific exposure. This gives them incentives to pass up firm-specific projects in favor of standard projects that contain...

We estimate the cost of equity capital for a sample of Australian firms using the CAPM and valuation models which are based on analyst forecasts of earnings and dividends. We find that the use of a composite of time-series and analyst forecasts rather than raw analyst forecasts results in cost...

In light of the ongoing debate over the value of the equity risk premium, its increasing use in the regulatory setting, and the impact of dividend imputation on the premium, this paper presents a timely new look at the historical equity risk premium in Australia, and provides an improved...