For many economic problems standard statistical analysis, based on the notion of stationarity, is not adequate. These include modeling seasonal decisions of consumers, forecasting business cycles and - as we show in the present article - modeling wholesale power market prices. We apply standard...

Bei der Energiewende geht es aus ökonomischer Sicht darum, ihre klima- und umweltpolitisch Ziele so zu erreichen, dass auch die beiden anderen Eckpunkte des energiepolitischen Zieldreiecks, die Wirtschaftlichkeit und die Versorgungssicherheit, angemessene Berücksichtigung finden. Der...

Der Ausstieg aus der Kernenergie und die angestrebte Energiewende werden vermutlich zu steigenden Strompreisen führen. Einigen Schätzungen zufolge könnten die Preise für Strom bis zum Jahr 2020 um bis zu 30% angehoben werden. Wer trägt die Hauptlast der hohen Kosten? Kann es gelingen, die...

Modelling price formation in electricity markets is a notoriously difficult process, due to physical constraints on electricity generation and transmission, and the potential for market power. This difficulty has inspired the recent development of bottom-up agent-based algorithmic learning...

One of the objectives of energy security is the uninterrupted physical availability of energy. However, there is limited information about how much is the cost of energy supply interruptions. This information is essential to optimize investment and operating decisions to prevent energy...

The German Energiewende’s potential effects on the reliability of electricity supply as well as the corresponding economic consequences have recently entered both the political and scientific debate. However, empirical evidence of power outage costs in Germany is rather scarce. Following a...

The increase of oil and natural gas prices since the year 2000 stimulated the planning and construction of new coal-fired electricity generating plants and coal-to-liquids plants in the US. However, a large number of these projects have been canceled or abandoned since 2007. Using a set of 145...

This research tests the impact of changes in fuel price to explain fuel use by electric utilities. We employ a three-stage least squares model that explains changes in fuel use as a function of changes in three fuel prices. This model is repeated across sub-samples of data aggregated at the...

Von den möglichen Auswirkungen des Klimawandels wird eine Vielzahl gesellschaftlicher Bereiche betroffen sein, wobei dem Energiesektor dabei gesamtgesellschaftlich eine große Bedeutung zukommt. Zum einen ist die Energieinfrastruktur eine sogenannte Kritische Infrastruktur, denn ihr Ausfall...