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We develop a general equilibrium model of asset prices in which the benefits of technological innovation are distributed asymmetrically. Financial market participants do not capture all the economic rents resulting from innovative activity, even when they own shares in innovating firms. Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010652296
The main message of this paper is that it is Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution, which is at the heart of the asset pricing puzzles, not Risk Aversion. We illustrate that point, by first showing that under certainty a model, which allows for a separation of the two characteristics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012738745
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005245195
We propose a general equilibrium model to study the link between the cross section of expected returns and book-to-market characteristics. We model two primitive assets: value assets and growth assets that are options on assets in place. The cost of option exercise, which is endogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616813
Using a general equilibrium model with endogenous growth, I show that risk to human capital leads to a “Value” premium in equity returns. In particular, firms with relatively more firm-specific human capital or more positive covariance between asset growth and returns on human capital are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110609
I examine the intertemporal distribution of US productivity risk and show that the conditional mean of productivity growth is an important determinant of macro quantities and asset prices. After establishing this empirical link, I rationalize it in a production economy featuring long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012706730
In the rare-disasters setting, a key determinant of the equity premium is the size distribution of macroeconomic disasters, gauged by proportionate declines in per capita consumption or GDP. The long-term national-accounts data for up to 36 countries provide a large sample of disaster events of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089155
This paper incorporates a small and time-varying “disaster risk” à la Gourio (2012) in a New Keynesian model. A change in the probability of disaster may affect macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. In particular, a higher risk is sufficient to generate a recession without effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660771
The stock market is one of the imperative indicators of the economy. This study strived to explore the impact of five macroeconomic variables on General Index in the long run and short run. In order to investigate the long run and short run relationships Johansen co-integation technique and VECM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144238
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005563755