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We implement an agent-based financial market model simulation in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. We consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change their trading behaviour....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011139808
Looking back, 30 years of research on foreign exchange (FX) market microstructure reveals that order flow, heterogeneity among agents, and private information are crucial determinants of short-run exchange rate dynamics. Microstructure researchers have produced empirically-driven models that fit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896681
Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292069
Research on foreign exchange market microstructure stresses the importance of order flow, heterogeneity among agents, and private information as crucial determinants of short-run exchange rate dynamics. Microstructure researchers have produced empirically-driven models that fit the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719330
Stock returns in emerging markets are to some extent predictable on the basis of selected instrument variables. We show that local information is more important than global information to capture emerging stock market returns. This is an indication for at least partial segmentation of emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427449
This paper, which is motivated by the literature on international asset pricing and recent work on exchange rate determination, investigates dynamic relationshiops between major currency and equity markets. Using a multivariate GARCH framework, we examine conditional cross- autocorrelations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413091
This paper studies the cross-autocorrelation structure in the German and Turkish stock markets by using daily portfolio returns. We find the evidence that large cap portfolios lead small cap portfolios in both subperiods of German stock market but this structure is seen only in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413132
The decomposition of national CAPM market betas of European countries’ value and growth portfolio returns into cashflow and discount rate news driven components reveals that i) high average returns on value portfolios are associated with disproportionately high sensitivity to national cashflow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463544
We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464759
We examine the performance of technical trading rules in Chinese domestic A-share and foreign B-share markets. After controlling for non-synchronous trading and transaction costs, we find evidence to support the predictability and profitability of some of the most popular technical trading rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970143