The market for unseasoned equity has the unusual and distinguishing feature of periods of concentrated activity in terms of both volume and underpricing. This paper formally documents the existence of such periods using a regime-switching model that dates transitions between hot and cold states....

Younger, riskier, less credible firms do not voluntarily supply initial public offering prospectus earnings forecasts. Nondisclosure increases valuation uncertainty risk, thus necessitating higher first-day underpricing and long-run performance as compensation.

Conditions under which private firms going public will voluntarily disclose earnings forecasts in initial public offerings prospectuses are explored. The analysis implies younger, riskier companies do not voluntarily forecast earnings because of the potential costs of not performing as well as...

This paper finds that observed monthly United States stock index returns are consistent with an underlying mechanism of shifts in regimes amongst multiple states with differing means and volatility. An issue of especial interest is whether long-term clustering of regimes gives rise to stock...

In the finance and accounting literature, the use of a common divisor in the dependent and independent variables of ordinary least-squares regressions is commonplace. What goes less recognized, however, is that their use induces spurious correlation between the regression variables and...

In this paper, we assess the relation between fund flow and fund returns in China's open-ended fund industry. Analyzing quarterly data from the period January 2005-December 2012, we construct a simultaneous equation model that captures the endogeneity of current and past returns and flows and...

Is there timing ability in the exchange rate markets? We address this question by examining foreign firms' decisions to issue American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Specifically, we test whether foreign firms consider currency market conditions in their ADR issuance decisions and, in doing so,...

This paper investigates the relation between lunar phases and stock market returns of 48 countries. The findings indicate that stock returns are lower on the days around a full moon than on the days around a new moon. The magnitude of the return difference is 3% to 5% per annum based on analyses...