We put forward a new option pricing formula based on the notion that people tend to think by analogies and comparisons. The new formula differs from the Black Scholes formula due to the appearance of a parameter in the formula that captures the risk premium on the underlying. The new formula,...

In this paper we study relations between various segments of the Russian financial market (GKO market, currency market, interbank loans market and stock market). We pay special attention to the GKO market, which is remarkable for its volume and significance. We consider relations of the GKO...

This article analyzes the role of liquidity in the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market. We employ a continuous-time specification to incorporate illiquidity as an additional pricing factor of default swap contracts for the most developed economies. The illiquidity discount process is...

This paper uses regression analysis to compare the market pricing of the default risk of banks to that of other firms. We study how CDS traders discriminate between banks and other type of firms and how their judgement changes over time, in particular, since the start of the recent financial...

This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic fundamentals on emerging market sovereign credit spreads. We find that the volatility of terms of trade in particular has a statistically and economically significant effect on spreads. This is robust to instrumenting terms of trade with a...

In this paper, we develop and experiment an intensity based multi-factor model, which incorporates the joint modelling of default, prepayment and recovery risks. In this way, the model provides a link between the credit default swap (CDS) and the loan-only credit default swap (LCDS) markets. The...

In this paper, we introduce a new robust model for modelling and pricing LCDX tranches. We extend the generic one-factor model of [1], which was developed for modelling and pricing of a synthetic CDO of CDSs, to a model for tranched portfolio of loan-only CDSs (LCDSs). The essential difference...

We study in this paper the considerations that should be taken into account in the decision of currency decomposition of debt. The problem we are addressing in this paper is what should be the differential credit spread for a given firm, whether it issues bonds in local currency or in a foreign...

The Loan CDS (LCDS) contract is in some aspects similar to a standard unsecured CDS contract, except for two main features. First, the underlying reference obligation for LCDS is secured loan. Second, the LCDS contract is canceled if there is no reference obligation available, whereas a CDS...

We address three questions relating to the interest rate options market: What is the shape of the smile? What are the economic determinants of the shape of the smile? Do these determinants have predictive power for the future shape of the smile and vice versa? We investigate these issues using...