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The use of conventional augmented CAPM specification in estimating the exchange rate exposure may result in less reliable estimates for, at least, two reasons. First, it does not take into account a few important stylized facts associated with financial time series. Second, one cannot estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119493
In this paper we argue that the commonly employed exposure coefficient/beta is inadequate for capturing the entire impact of exchange rate changes on firms' future operating cash flows. Instead, we employ the bivariate Glosten–Jagannathan–Runkle generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948654
This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed markets and four emerging markets. We employ a modified trivariate BEKK-GARCH-in-mean model of Engle and Kroner (1995) to estimate the time-varying conditional variance and covariance of returns of stock index,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010931045
This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed markets and four emerging markets. A trivariate BEKK-GARCH-in-mean model is used to estimate the timevarying conditional variance and covariance of returns of stock index, the world market portfolio and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008880482
Most studies of exchange rate exposure of stock returns do not address three relevant aspects simultaneously. They are, namely: sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate changes; sensitivity of volatility of stock returns to volatility of changes in foreign exchange market; and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005445216
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008137876
Most of the tests for symmetry are developed under the (implicit or explicit) null hypothesis of normal distribution. As is well known, many financial data exhibit fat tails, and therefore commonly used tests for symmetry (such as the standard b test based on sample skewness) are not valid for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761976
Several recent articles report evidence of predictability in the skewness of equity returns, raising hopes that predictability in third moments will be useful for forecasting the probability of tail events. The evidence is unfortunately difficult to interpret, partly because they were obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741137
Most of the tests for asymmetry are developed under the null hypothesis of normal distribution. As is well known, many financial data exhibits fat tail, and commonly used tests (such as the standard square root test based on sample skewness) are not valid for leptokurtic financial data. Also,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012742186