This paper investigates the presence and characteristics of arbitrage opportunities in the foreign exchange market using a unique data set for three major capital and foreign exchange markets that covers a period of more than seven months at tick frequency, obtained from Reuters on special...

This paper sheds new light on the mixture of distribution hypothesis by means of a study of the exchange rate volatility of the Norwegian krone. First, we find that the impact of changes in the number of information events on exchange rate volatility is statistically significant, and recursive...

In macroeconomic models exchange rates are determined by public information. Trading activities are completely irrelevant. In general, these models have low explanatory power for short horizons, which might be due to the possible existence of private information. Dealers in the foreign exchange...

This paper sheds new light on the mixture of distribution hypothesis by means of a study of the exchange rate volatility of the Norwegian krone. First, we find that the impact of changes in the number of information events on exchange rate volatility is statistically significant, and recursive...

We compute bid-ask spreads for the dollar/euro exchange rate and find them to be substantially larger than their deutschemark counterparts before introduction of the euro. We show that larger percentage spreads are not explained by volatility, trade intensity, and other standard explanatory...

We show empirically that survey-based measures of expected inflation are significant and strong predictors of future aggregate stock returns in several industrialized countries both in-sample and out-of-sample. Empirically discriminating between competing sources of this return predictability by...

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

This paper investigates whether measuring consumption risk over long horizons can improve the empirical performance of the Consumption CAPM for size and value premia in international stock markets (US, UK, and Germany). We modify the estimation approach of Parker and Julliard (2005) taking...

We study the performance of conditional asset pricing models in explaining the German cross-section of stock returns. Our test assets are portfolios sorted by size and book-to-market as in the paper by Fama and French (1993). Our results show that the empirical performance of the Capital Asset...

This paper presents an empirical evaluation of recently proposed asset pricing models which extend the standard preference specification by a reference level of consumption. We motivate an alternative model that accounts for the return on human capital as a determinant of the reference level....