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one-period probit model used by Cole and Gunther (1998). Using data on U.S. bank failures from 1985 – 1992, we find that …, from an econometric perspective, the hazard model is more accurate than the probit model in predicting bank failures, but … data from the 1980s performs surprisingly well in forecasting bank failures during 2009 – 2010. …
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In this study, we analyze why U.S. commercial banks failed during the recent financial crisis. We find that proxies for commercial real estate investments, as well as traditional proxies for the CAMELS components, do an excellent job in explaining the failures of banks that were closed during...
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