We propose a network-based model of credit contagion and examine the e�ects of idiosyncratic and systemic shocks to individual banks and the banking system. The banking system is built as a network in which banks are connected to each other through the interbank market. The microstructure...

In the paper we test a homogenous agent version of the Montgomery's (1991) non-cooperative wage posting model. The inclusion of intrinsic costs, related to the uncertainty when changing the alternative agents are already using, alters the outcome of the model in two respects: firstly, it...

In the paper, we simulate a heterogeneous-agent version of the wage-posting model as derived by Montgomery (1991) with homogeneous workers and differently-productive employers. Wage policy of particular employer is positively correlated with employer’s productivity level and the wage policy of...

The model of social network is used to analyze the impact of the power of labor unions in the labor relations. We find that labor union capable to affect a pecuniary compensation of shirking employees lessens the motivation of employees to work and improve to the unionization rate. As a result,...

Paper approximates long run implications of different tax schedules, i.e. using Chebyshev collocation. Model argues in favor of flat taxes and operates within an Arrow - Debreu environment. We approximate steady state Euler equations of an infinitely-lived-representative-agent exogenous growth...

In this article we implement liquidity in the standard value-at-risk framework. We incorporate bid-ask spread into basic VaR models. We then test these models on three foreign markets and on a domestic one. We conclude that liquidity VaR models adequately measure market risk. On one hand, the...

This paper examines the quality of the macroeconomic forecasts of six institutions that regularly publish forecasts for Slovenia. The analysis focuses on an evaluation of the quality of forecasts for the real and nominal growth of GDP and for the average annual inflation rate for the period from...

The classical NBER leading indicators model was built solely within a linear framework. With recent developments in nonlinear time-series analysis, several authors have begun to examine the forecasting properties of nonlinear models in the field of forecasting business cycles. The research...

We analyze the European transition economies and show that time series for most of major indices exhibit (i) power-law correlations in their values, power-law correlations in their magnitudes, and (iii) asymmetric probability distribution. We propose a stochastic model that can generate time...