Showing 1 - 10 of 323
In this paper, we test for Wagner's law for 15 Indian states. We consider nine panels of states based on geography and level of economic development. Using panel unit-root, panel-cointegration, and panel-Granger causality analysis, we unravel strong evidence of Wagner's law. However, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597531
The goal of this paper is to examine the responsiveness of the UK housing market to real and nominal shocks. To achieve this goal, we use a structural VAR model based on quarterly data for the period 1957:1¡V2009:4. We find that, in response to an interest rate shock, aggregate and modern house...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598968
While the literature concerned with the predictability of stock returns is huge, surprisingly little is known when it comes to role of the choice of estimator of the predictive regression. Ideally, the choice of estimator should be rooted in the salient features of the data. In case of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599658
Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a fractionally cointegrated model can provide statistically and/or economically significant forecasts of commodity returns. Specifically, we propose to model and forecast commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147853
<section xml:id="fut21687-sec-0001"> Most empirical evidence suggests that the efficient futures market hypothesis, henceforth referred to as EFMH, stating that spot and futures prices should cointegrate with a unit slope on futures prices, does not hold, a finding at odds with many theoretical models. This article argues that...</section>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198261
In this paper, we test the share price clustering phenomena and its determinants for the Mexican share market. We consider the top-12 listed companies. We observe cases of significant price clustering behaviour in the Mexican share market. Our analysis of the determinants of price clustering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861656
In this paper, we propose a simple extension to a Keynesian type macro model by augmenting it with energy consumption. We show the relationship between energy consumption and output in a macroeconomic setting and ask the question: Do permanent shocks dominate changes in energy consumption and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008863762
This paper examines whether domestic or foreign net saving predominantly influences an economy's international borrowing and lending with reference to the experience of western European economies that have had sizable current account surpluses and deficits since the turn of the century. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008865684
Whether common stocks provide a hedge against inflation has been long debated. This paper focuses on this question by investigating the relationship between inflation and stock returns in the short term and medium term and under different inflationary regimes using the UK data. Empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008865785
This paper examines the relationship between democracy and economic growth in 30 Sub-Saharan African countries. As our proxy for democracy we first use the democracy index constructed by Freedom House and then check the sensitivity of our findings using, as an alternative proxy for democracy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868219