It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after1999.This paper analyzes the extent to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of deviations from the fundamentals of house price growth,...

This paper analyzes the risk-taking behavior of financial intuitions that have guarantees and/or institutions that find it beneficial to develop a reputation for not taking risk. It focuses on two questions: Is it rational for them to take on less risk than they can get away with, and if it is...

This paper analyzes the risk-taking behavior of financial intuitions that have guarantees (e.g., banks with deposit insurance or Government Sponsored Enterprises with implicit guarantees) and/or institutions that find it beneficial to develop a reputation for not taking risk. For instance, banks...

This paper extends the conventional Value at Risk (VaR) to incorporate liquidity in intraday time horizon. Our rationale is that the Liquidity Adjusted Intraday VaR (L-VaR) is particularly relevant to day traders who are more interested in intraday market movement that could not be simply...

In this study we incorporate sticky rents into a real options model to rationalize the widely documented overbuilding puzzle in real estate markets. Given the assumption that developers' objective function is to maximize total revenue by selecting an optimal occupancy level, our model provides a...

The paper examines the risk-and-return characteristics of a popular development strategy, the presale system (or sale before completion), used in many Asian cities. We model a presale decision in a real-options framework and suggest that the use of presale is primarily for a risk-sharing...

This paper examines herding behavior among Hong Kong investors using announcements of the opening of new casinos in Macau. The results show that there is a difference in the herding behavior toward these “Macau concept” stocks before and after the change in investment sentiment regarding...