We build a Conditional Real Options model VORC which allows for cashflows to be probabilistic and contingent on the average behavior of an external variable; and we apply our model to the crude oil market where the inflows on an investment project are contingent on the state of the base -the...

This paper uses real options theory to value an investment opportunity known as the Mediterranean-Dead Sea hydroelectric project. We employ a discrete time model to:-quantify simultaneous variation of three decision variables over the useful life of the project;-value options to: postpone the...

Although Arzac and Glosten (2005) affirm that the value of tax shields depends upon the nature of the equity stochastic process, which, in turn depends upon the free cash flow process, I prove that the value of tax shields depends only upon the nature of the stochastic process of the net...

Valuation Methods and shareholder value creation is a complete book about business valuation and value creation. The book explains the nuances of different valuation methods and provides the reader with the tools for analyzing and valuing any business, no matter how complex. With 631 pages...

This paper develops a structural model that determines default spreads on risky debt. In contrast to previous research, the value of the debt's collateral is endogenously determined by the borrower's investment choice, as well as by a market demand variable that has permanent as well as...

Since Black (1976), the source of the stock price volatility smirk has remained a controversy. The volatility smirk is a side effect of agency conflict. An important distinction is that the smirk occurs in the optimum, even after agency conflict has been resolved. The slope of the smirk is found...

Since Black (1976), the source of the stock price volatility smirk has remained a controversy. The volatility smirk is a side eect of agency conict. An important distinction is that the smirk occurs in the optimum, even after agency conict has been resolved. The slope of the smirk is found to...

In this note a general model of optimal hedging is studied which emcompasses most other existing hedging models. Assuming a convex form of the function of deadweight costs, the optimal hedging strategy is discussed. An analogy to the analysis of behavior towards risk of an expected utility...

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the Least Squares Monte Carlo Simulation Method (Longstaff and Schwartz, 2001) and of the extension of Gamba (2003) to value portfolios of real options. The accuracy of the method is assessed when valuing stylised real options as maximum, compound or...

Traditional real options models demonstrate the importance of the quot;option to waitquot; due to uncertainty over future shocks to project cash flows. However, there is often another important source of uncertainty: uncertainty over the permanence of past shocks. Adding Bayesian uncertainty...