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In sender-receiver games high-quality types can distinguish themselves from low-quality types by sending a costly signal. Allowing for additional, noisy information on sender types can radically alter sender behavior in such games. We examine equilibria where medium types separate themselves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005146888
In our model, informed players decide whether or not to disclose, and observers allocate attention among disclosed signals, and toward reasoning through the implications of a failure to disclose. In equilibrium disclosure is incomplete, and observers are unrealistically optimistic. Nevertheless,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407521
This article relates interim financial reporting frequency in a multiperiod Kyle framework to securities prices, trading volume, market liquidity, and analysts' information acquisition expenditures. The model supports conventional wisdom that more frequent interim reporting improves the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785972
We extend the $\Delta$-rationalizability (see Battigalli and Siniscalchi 2003) to infinite strategic form games with incomplete information. The most important feature of the $\Delta$-rationalizability is that there is no specified epistemic type space \`{a} la Harsanyi. However, we can impose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702725
In an information transmission situation, a sender's concern for its credibility could endow itself with an invisible power to control the receiver's decisions so that the sender can manipulate information without being detected. In this case, the sender can achieve its favored outcome without...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789900
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005795298
The paper analyzes the dynamics of a resale market subject to adverse selection. Infinitely-lived agents deal in cars which last two periods. Car quality is exogenous and known only to sellers. I prove existence of steady-state equilibrium, then provide a full characterization: number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827160
We model an interaction between an informed sender and an uninformed receiver. Like the classic cheap talk setup, the informed player sends a message to an uninformed receiver who is to take an action which affects the payoffs of both players. However, unlike the classic cheap talk setup, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543017
This paper explores the role of memory in decision making in dynamic environments. We examine the inference problem faced by an agent with bounded memory who receives a sequence of signals from a hidden Markov model. We show that the optimal symmetric memory rule may be deterministic. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526963
This paper applies a standard model of brinkmanship as a way of analyzing the likelihood that Iran will respond to the threat of war by capitulating on its nuclear weapons ambitions. We find that it is always possible to generate such a threat as long as Iranian payoffs are non negative....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008476353