For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …

may in some cases increase the rate of inflation - not only in the end, but even from the start. I show that this … "spectacular" result ceases to hold if the central bank is restricted always to choose the lowest final inflation rate. On the …

resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more …. Améliorer la crédibilité de l’objectif d’inflation donnerait aux autorités monétaires plus de latitude pour réagir aux chocs …

I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …

interest rates and inflation rates. It is argued that the traditional story deriving central bank power from its monopoly of … banks seem to influence interest and inflation rates. Here, we suggest that the explanation is that central banks have …

This paper presents a model that pictures how inflation is determined in a decentralized market process where prices … setters of sequential contracts. An important property of the model is that inflation thus can be explained without any … reference to the quantity of money.Following up the finding that inflation is determined in a coordination game, it is …

This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …