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The covariance between US Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953--2009, it was unusually high in the early 1980''s and negative in the 2000''s, particularly in the downturns of 2000--02 and 2007--09....
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A long return history is useful in estimating the current equity premium even if the historical distribution has experienced structural breaks. The long series helps not only if the timing of breaks is uncertain but also if one believes that large shifts in the premium are unlikely or that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005830947
We construct asset markets, that are similar to those studied by Smith, Suchanek and Willians (1988), in which bubbles and crashes tended to occur. The main difference between the markets studied here and those studied by Smith et al. are that in the markets studied here, the fundamental values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835339
We report the results of an experiment designed to study the role of speculation in the formation of bubbles and crashes in laboratory asset markets. In a setting in which speculation is not possible, bubbles and crashes are observed. The results suggest that the departures from fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835349
Three essays comprise this dissertation. The first essay uses panel data to show that labor income risk alone cannot explain limited stock market participation. However, transaction costs and household demographics, considered jointly, can determine both the discrete choice of whether to hold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835481
Evidence suggests that arbitragers exchange investment ideas. We analyze why and under what circumstances sharing occurs. Our model suggests that sharing ideas will lead to the following: more efficient asset prices, larger arbitrager profits, and correlated arbitrager returns. We predict that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835710
Evidence suggests that arbitragers exchange investment ideas. We analyze why and under what circumstances sharing occurs. Our model suggests that sharing ideas will lead to the following: more efficient asset prices, larger arbitrager profits, and correlated arbitrager returns. We predict that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835969