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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004584518
An article about the selecting stocks that can bring the greatest profit. This topic remains relevant among the players of the stock market and people who want to earn on the sale of securities. In this article the author analyzes the changes in stock prices during the crisis period, predicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112730
This paper examines the short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes on the Ukrainian stock market. The original method of abnormal returns calculation is examined. We find significant evidence of overreactions using the daily data over the period 2008-2012. Our analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113951
This text presents a study of various models based on jump processes in the context of foreign exchange (FX) rates modeling. Quality of FX rate log-returns fit is assessed for models such as Merton and Kou jump-diffusions, normal inverse Gaussian, variance gamma, and Meixner. The study is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258961
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the time-series predictive ability of foreign exchange risk measures on the return to the carry trade, a popular investment strategy that borrows in low-interest currencies and lends in high-interest currencies. Using quantile regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753673
The carry trade is the investment strategy of going long in high-yield target currencies and short in low-yield funding currencies. Recently, this naive trade has seen very high returns for long periods, followed by large crash losses after large depreciations of the target currencies. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628426
The oscillators (indicators), capturing the price changes of shares, currencies, indexes and other investment instruments in the short run are emphasized. The main aim is to reveal the capability of the indicators as an adequate instrument to forecast the changes in the market trend of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503600
The carry trade is the investment strategy of going long in high-yield target currencies and short in low-yield funding currencies. Recently, this naive trade has seen very high returns for long periods, followed by large crash losses after large depreciations of the target currencies. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491718
This paper shows that economic fundamentals can generate reliable out-of-sample forecasts for exchange rates when prediction is based on a "kitchen-sink" regression that incorporates multiple predictors. The key to establishing predictability is estimating the kitchen-sink regression with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748422
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the time-series predictive ability of foreign exchange risk measures on the return to the carry trade, a popular investment strategy that borrows in low-interest currencies and lends in high-interest currencies. Using quantile regressions, we nd...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748424