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indices from countries that China net imports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010797750
Executives frequently forecast large operating efficiency gains from mergers. Using these projections, we study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712001
This appendix extends the empirical results in Chesney, Crameri, and Mancini (2011). Informed trading activities on put and call options are analyzed for 19 companies in the banking and insurance sectors from January 1996 to September 2009. Our empirical findings suggest that certain events such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010680444
We develop statistical methods to detect informed trading in options markets. We apply these methods to 31 companies from various sectors over 14 years analyzing approximately 9.6 million option prices. We find that option informed trading tends to cluster prior to certain events, takes place...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010680452
We construct investor sentiment indices for six major stock markets and decompose them into one global and six local indices. In a validation test, we find that relative sentiment is correlated with the relative prices of dual-listed companies. Global sentiment is a contrarian predictor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754854
The FTSE 100 Volatility Index (VFTSE) reflects the market expectations of the future monthly volatility of the UK benchmark equity index, FTSE100. VFTSE is calculated using the model-free methodology that involves option prices summations and is independent from the Black and Scholes pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012715600
This paper empirically examines price formation in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). Our analysis shows that unexpected allocations of European Union Allowances (EUAs) lead to pronounced price reactions of the expected signs. Moreover, we find evidence that the adjustment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012719277
This paper presents a fractal analysis application to the verification of assumptions of Fractal Market Hypothesis and the presence of fractal properties in financial time series. In this research, the box-counting dimension and pointwise Hölder exponents are used. Achieved results lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875596
The economic confidence level is expressed by managers that are active in significant economic sectors. The financial markets consider these economic confidence indicators as leading instruments that can point the direction of the real economy. The level of trust in the economy is important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010934767