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A scenario is a policy analysis tool that describes a possible set of future conditions. The most useful scenarios (for …, the foresight and scenario building methods can be an interesting reference for social sciences. Some examples of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623349
The effects of a transatlantic trade agreement on the global forest sector were assessed with the Global Forest Products Model, conditional on previous macroeconomic impacts predicted with a general equilibrium model. Comprehensive tariff elimination per se had little effect on the forest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077009
The paper provides a framework to approach price and quantity determination in the roundwood market from a slightly new perspective. In the spirit of the trade union literature, a model of timber price determination is formulated according to which the forest owners' association determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005545882
This thesis consists of four papers: two of them deal with the effects on the forest sector of an increase in the demand for forest fuels, and two of them concern the relation between economic growth and pollution. <p>Paper [I] is a first, preliminary study of the potential effects on the Swedish...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207267
feature of future trajectories. This paper discusses the role that different types of scenarios can play in helping derive … contextualises the scenarios, emphasising the need for the longer view, the importance of decarbonising the economy, and in engaging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703184
companies and research organisations answered these and other questions as part of a foresight study conducted by the HSE ISSEK … created in other industries in the shipbuilding sector. The four possible shipbuilding development scenarios until 2030 are … proposed taking into account key uncertainty factors and strategic ‘forks.’ These scenarios enabled us to identify high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898307
Although various user-centric innovation concepts have proved successful in niche markets and specific industries, there is yet little understanding how these models may become more widely diffused in manufacturing industries. We apply an evolutionary economics perspective to explore possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970210
In this paper will be discussed different types of scenarios and the aims for using scenarios. Normaly they are being … (Shell Internacional). Scenarios should anticipate possible relations among social actors as in the Triple Helix Model, and … is possible to develop strategic intelligence in the innovation process that would enable the construction of scenarios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005212644
The aim of this report is to highlight the importance of foresight exercises as a necessary tool to help the decision … prospective methods and also scenarios construction. One example is the European project WORKS (Work organization restructuring in … the knowledge society) that pretend to built a set of scenarios about the possible evolution of work in Europe in a short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731579
How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698388