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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004346410
. We introduce a recession indicator and thereby compare the severity of turbulence/crisis periods during 1987-2011. High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941551
with real activity. As for the recent recession, we find that (1) it likely ended around July 2009; (2) its most extreme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008493139
We construct a framework for measuring economic activity in real time (e.g., minute-by-minute), using a variety of stock and flow data observed at mixed frequencies. Specifically, we propose a dynamic factor model that permits exact filtering, and we explore the efficacy of our methods both in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126701
We construct a framework for measuring economic activity at high frequency, potentially in real time. We use a variety of stock and flow data observed at mixed frequencies (including very high frequencies), and we use a dynamic factor model that permits exact filtering. We illustrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109611
We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010633794
This article focuses on the Japanese economy and its development in 2007-2010. It pays special attention to the deep economic crisis in 2008-2009 (the biggest economic slump in Japan after World War II). Factors of this crisis were mostly external (strong decline in Japanese exports and foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009569889
Using a new, large data set on quarterly reserve requirements for the period 1970-2011, this paper provides new evidence on the use of reserve requirements as a countercyclical macroprudential tool in developing countries. The appeal of reserve requirements lies in the pro-cyclical behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012573862