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This paper considers two classes of semiparametric nonlinear regression models, in which nonlinear components are introduced to reflect the nonlinear fluctuation in the mean. A general estimation and testing procedure for nonparametric time series regression under the strong-mixing condition is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621471
In this paper, we establish some new central limit theorems for generalized U-statistics of dependent processes under some mild conditions. Such central limit theorems complement existing existing results available from both the econometrics literature and statistics literature. We then look at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836931
Using Archimedean copulas, we investigate the dependence structure existing between several series of financial assets log-returns that come from different markets. These series are considered as components of a portfolio and they are investigated on a long period including high shocks. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005510644
We present a methodology based on Fourier series analysis to compute time series volatility when the data are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390725
-parametric regression approach to next-day volatility forecasting. A second finding is that the GARCH(1,1) model severely over-estimated the … unconditional variance leads to poor volatility forecasts during the period under discussion with the MSE of GARCH(1,1) 1-year ahead … volatility more than 4 times bigger than the MSE of a forecast based on historical volatility. We test and reject the hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407908
Modeling volatility during a financial crisis where massive shocks are generated presents an ideal environment for … investigating the dynamics of volatility during periods of extreme fluctuations for comparison with volatility during more tranquil … periods. The objective of this paper is to study volatility of daily stock returns listed on the Egyptian Exchange during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111235
individual effects on economic growth and volatility using the power-ARCH framework with annual data since the 1890s. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095511
This paper constructs unbiased and model-free measures of daily and hourly volatility of the overnight interest rate … increases in volatility and the most notable variations of its intraday pattern occur at the end of the reserve maintenance … period and at the end of each quarter. The average effect on market volatility of Eurosystem money market operations and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114089
propose a method of estimating the return volatility when the price process is described by a fractal Brownian motion with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116217
We propose a nonparametric likelihood inference method for the integrated volatility under high frequency financial … likelihood statistic under the constant and general non-constant volatility cases. In contrast to the existing literature, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122384