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Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: An empirical investigation

Gonul, Sinan; Onkal, Dilek; Goodwin, Paul - 2009

A survey of 124 users of externally produced financial and economic forecasts in Turkey investigated their expectations and perceptions of forecast quality and their reasons for judgmentally adjusting forecasts. Expectations and quality perceptions mainly related to the timeliness of forecasts,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428547

The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters

Benson, P. George; Onkal, Dilek - In: International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 4, pp. 559-573

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418644

Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions

Pollock, Andrew C.; Macaulay, Alex; Thomson, Mary E.; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 21 (2005) 3, pp. 473-489

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428829

Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years

Lawrence, Michael; Goodwin, Paul; O'Connor, Marcus; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 22 (2006) 3, pp. 493-518

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429143

Effects of task format on probabilistic forecasting of stock prices

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1996) 1, pp. 9-24

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429605

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of stock prices in a developing stock market

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: European Journal of Operational Research 74 (1994) 2, pp. 350-358

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005347742

Professional vs. amateur judgment accuracy: The case of foreign exchange rates

Onkal, Dilek; Yates, J. Frank; Simga-Mugan, Can; Oztin, Sule - In: Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 91 (2003) 2, pp. 169-185

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005348375

Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates

Pollock, Andrew C.; Macaulay, Alex; Thomson, Mary E.; … - In: International Journal of Applied Management Science 2 (2010) 3, pp. 282-304

The current paper aims to examine strategic predictions (with forecast horizons greater than six months) via the empirical probability (EP) technique. This technique was proposed initially to examine short-term tactical predictions (with forecast horizons less than three months), as set out in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008755258

How can you tell in advance whether you are going to get truly expert forecasts?

Frank Yates, J.; Onkal, Dilek - In: International Journal of Forecasting 20 (2004) 4, pp. 732-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418465

Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: International Journal of Forecasting 11 (1995) 2, pp. 307-319

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418479