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Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: An empirical investigation

Gonul, Sinan; Onkal, Dilek; Goodwin, Paul - 2009

A survey of 124 users of externally produced financial and economic forecasts in Turkey investigated their expectations and perceptions of forecast quality and their reasons for judgmentally adjusting forecasts. Expectations and quality perceptions mainly related to the timeliness of forecasts,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428547

Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions

Pollock, Andrew C.; Macaulay, Alex; Thomson, Mary E.; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 21 (2005) 3, pp. 473-489

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428829

Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years

Lawrence, Michael; Goodwin, Paul; O'Connor, Marcus; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 22 (2006) 3, pp. 493-518

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429143

Effects of task format on probabilistic forecasting of stock prices

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1996) 1, pp. 9-24

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429605

How can you tell in advance whether you are going to get truly expert forecasts?

Frank Yates, J.; Onkal, Dilek - In: International Journal of Forecasting 20 (2004) 4, pp. 732-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418465

Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: International Journal of Forecasting 11 (1995) 2, pp. 307-319

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418479

The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters

Benson, P. George; Onkal, Dilek - In: International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 4, pp. 559-573

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418644

The Influence of Nationality and Gender on Ethical Sensitivity: An Application of the Issue-Contingent Model

Simga-Mugan, Can; Daly, Bonita A.; Onkal, Dilek; Kavut, … - In: Journal of business ethics : JOBE 57 (2005) 2, pp. 139-160

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006877834

Judgmental Adjustment: A Challenge for Providers and Users of Forecasts

Onkal, Dilek; Gonul, M. Sinan - In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2005) 1

Both the providers and the users of forecasts appear to view judgmental adjustments as a sign of caring about the forecast. Although fine tunings are expected to increase practitioner satisfaction, adjustments may sometimes backfire and reduce forecast quality. Dilek and Sinan recommend that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004981677

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of stock prices in a developing stock market

Onkal, Dilek; Muradoglu, Gulnur - In: European Journal of Operational Research 74 (1994) 2, pp. 350-358

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005347742