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verify the theoretical prediction. We apply probit estimation controlling for time and country effects. Additionally, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721410
A bivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) model is used to test causal relations between the current account and the capital account in four emerging market economies. The results show that high capital mobility could be a major cause of current account instability. Therefore, macroeconomic policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782210
We revisit the issue of fiscal procyclicality in commodity-rich nations -commodity republics in the nomenclature of this paper. Since commodity prices are plausibly a main driver of fiscal policy outcomes in these countries, we focus on the behavior of fiscal variables across the commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969315
We demonstrate that the correlation of saving and investment is measured best by an error correction model (ECM), because theory implies a cointegrating relation between these variables. The ECM comprises all previous specifications as special cases, which are shown to be potentially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986244
Using the framework of a dynamic intertemporal optimization model of an open economy, it is shown that the long-run investment-saving correlation follows directly from the economy’s dynamic budget constraint and this does not depend on the degree of international capital mobility. Therefore,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861921
After a two-year deceleration, in 2009 the Mexican economy suffered a contraction only matched, in its modern history, by the one recorded in 1995, in the wake of the peso crisis of December 1994. As in the latter crisis, the economy immediately bounced back, posting positive growth in 2010....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907692
This study examines the effects of capital account restrictions on capital flows in nine emerging Asian economies using panel regressions with 75 economies and fixed effects over the period 1995–2007. The results show that effectiveness of capital controls in the nine emerging Asian economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011009833
This paper reviews the rapidly growing empirical literature on the drivers of capital flows to emerging markets. The empirical evidence is structured based on the recognition that the drivers of capital flows vary over time and across different types of capital flows. The drivers are classified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266125
foreign goods. Second, an increase in the foreign demand for U.S. assets. Both forces have contributed to steadily increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078616
Gross stocks of foreign assets have increased rapidly relative to national outputs since 1990, and the short … change in a country's net foreign assets. Nonetheless, unusually large current account imbalances, especially deficits …, of the two sources of the change in net foreign assets -- the current account and the capital gain on the net foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085026