This paper examines the sustainability of the currency board arrangements in Argentina and Hong Kong. We employ a Markov switching model with two regimes to infer the exchange rate pressure due to economic fundamentals and market expectations. The empirical results suggest that economic...

This note examines the role of risk aversion in computing the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under different utility and consumption process specifications. We find that the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under a Constant-Relative-Risk-Aversion (CRRA) utility specification...

Summary This paper examines inter-provincial consumption risk sharing and intertemporal consumption smoothing across Chinese provinces before and after the 1979 economic reform. Our results indicate that the degree of consumption risk sharing among Chinese provinces is lower than that within the...

We develop a model of risk sharing in which agents can pool their consumption risks in both national and local markets and then smooth the remaining consumption fluctuations with credit markets. Estimating the model with a unique dataset on Chinese cities, we find that the participation rate in...

This paper studies idiosyncratic risk of new ventures. An option-based model of a new venture with multistage investments and jumps is developed. Our model explains (1) why new ventures' idiosyncratic volatility eventually decreases as they clear Ramp;D investment stages and become mature firms...

We present an exact theory of the linear and nonlinear response of inhomogeneous media based on a fully multipolar approach. The theory considers parallel-plate or substrate configurations, appropriately including all image multipoles. The theory applies to inclusions of arbitrary structure and...

This research investigates the existence of segmentation in the market for fixedincome securities. Evidence is found of higher yield spreads being required for non-distressed bonds making larger contributions to the risk of pure debt portfolios over the 2003–2011 period. Abnormal returns...

A "stalling" economy has been defined as one that experiences a discrete deterioration in economic performance following a decline in its growth rate to below some threshold level. Previous efforts to identify stalls have focused primarily on the US economy, with the threshold level being chosen...

Low positive GDP growth has been interpreted as evidence that the economy may be "stalling", implying that low growth is a strong predictor of future recessions. We examine the empirical evidence for stalling based on kernel density estimates, probit estimates and Markov switching models....