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This paper addresses the question of whether and how long-term financial trends may have modified the transmission mechanism from monetary policy decisions to economic activity. The focus is on longterm changes, abstracting from the disruptions created by the 2007-08 financial turmoil which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045625
Pricing and hedging of long-term interest rate sensitive products require to extrapolate the term structure beyond observable maturities. For the resulting limiting term structure we show two results by postulating no arbitrage in a bond market with infinitely increasing maturities: long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085682
The aim of this paper is to study how the macroeconomic impulses can affect the term structure during the Great Moderation. As novelty in the research strategy, we create a term-structure using three latent factors of the yield curve. A Nelson-Siegel Model is implemented to estimate the latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010779619
Explanations of why changes in the relative quantities of safe debt seem to affect asset prices often appeal informally to a “portfolio balance” mechanism. I show how this type of effect can be incorporated in a general class of structural, arbitrage-free asset-pricing models using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027196
The Federal Reserve’s 2009 program to purchase $300 billion of US Treasury securities represented an unprecedented intervention in the Treasury market and provides a natural experiment with the potential to shed light on the price elasticities of Treasuries and theories of supply effects in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039218
This paper concerns an alternative of monetary policy operational framework for the newly created European Central Bank (ECB). Composed of 12 central banks (many of them with an outstanding prestige) it must create the new quality as the emerging single central bank of the large monetary union....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786572
Several aspects of the difficulties of policy at the zero lower bound are discussed: The difficulty of credible commitment to higher future inflation, as most New Keynesian models imply is necessary; the need for fiscal and monetary policy coordination; the pitfalls in the taking of quasi-fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011150010
The original Keynesian paradigm differs from the Neoclassical Synthesis and even more so from the New-Keynesian approach. In this paper, a modern framework for the original Keynesian paradigm is presented. It will highlight the key elements of the paradigm. A model is developed to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982068
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000743472
During the past two decades of economic stagnation and persistent deflation in Japan, chronic fiscal deficits have led to elevated and rising ratios of government debt to nominal GDP. Nevertheless, long-term Japanese government bonds' (JGBs) nominal yields initially declined and have stayed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936556