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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004252970
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Over the past century, the institution of capital and the process of its accumulation have been fundamentally transformed. By contrast, the theories that explain this institution and process have remained largely unchanged. The purpose of this paper is to address this mismatch. Using a broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621372
This paper empirically examines the impact of oil price levels and volatility on key macroeconomic indicators of … for their different macroeconomic impacts. The relationships between oil price levels, the two volatility measurements … Indonesia. In particular, two measures of volatility – historical volatility and realized volatility – are utilized and compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449289
capital-scarce resource exporter. I show that capital-scarce countries should still establish a Volatility Fund, but it should … a Volatility Fund quickly, then leave it alone; and iii) Invest to stabilise the real exchange rate.The remaining four … apply to capital-scarce countries: iv) Finance consumption and investment with oil; v) Use a temporary Parking Fund to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276414
We propose a model to estimate the price volatility in of the Mexican Export Crude Oil Blend. The analysis relies on … the conditional standard deviations obtained from a GARCH model. Data includes diary oil prices between January 2nd, 1998 … and February 14th, 2007. The chosen model is of the GARCH (1,1) type. Asymmetric volatility effects are not detected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835514
have industry-wide effects. Using a sample of G7 countries we examine whether uncertainty about a prominent commodity – oil … predictions of real options theory – uncertainty about oil prices has had a negative and significant effect on manufacturing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515129
Mineral wealth tends to make countries less democratic and more likely to experience a civil war. Many countries also find it hard to use their natural resource revenues to make high-quality, growth-enhancing investments. I argue that these problems are caused, in part, by the unusual qualities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660937
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/22/11.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020960
The paper presents and estimates a model of the prices of oil and other storable commodities, a model that can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048451