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Abstract Using a novel dataset, I quantify the magnitude of the EU-27 countries’ output gap revisions in 2002–2014, and study the implications of this uncertainty for the optimal fiscal policy with a DSGE model. I find that taking into account the output gap uncertainty (i.e. the difficulty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619367
structure of production. Noticeably lacking, however, is a clear theory of expectations. Recent Austrian responses to rational … expectations critiques—such as positing a prisoner’s dilemma, heterogeneous entrepreneurs, and adverse selection—try to fill this … gap. But much work remains to be done developing an Austrian theory of expectations, one where they are endogenous to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987942
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005212120
Economists have studied for a long time how decision-makers allocate scarce resources. The recent literature on rational inattention studies how decision-makers allocate the scarce resource attention. The idea is that decision-makers have a limited amount of attention and have to decide how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395648
episodes have revived interest in expectations driven business cycles models. However, previous work in this area has not … expectations driven business cycle models. We propose a generalization of the Greenwood et al. (1988) model with vintage capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644913
. Assuming that expectations are adaptive, we determine and solve a second order system of difference equations with constant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490663
changes in expectations. We show that most of the standard neo-classical models used in the macro literature can not support … economies may exhibit business cycle fluctuations driven by changes in expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090930
consumption and labor. In the two latter models we also analyze the existence and learnability of sunspot rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005035745
We examine stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in Real Business Cycle type models with indeterminacies. Our analysis emphasizes the importance of examining alternative representations of sunspot solutions. A general bivariate reduced form contains parameter regions in which sunspots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005751492