Gwilym, Owain Ap; Buckle, Mike - In: The European Journal of Finance 5 (1999) 1, pp. 73-94
. Historical volatility estimators are found to have greater forecast accuracy than implied volatilities. Although implied … volatility is a biased estimator of realized volatility, regression tests show that it contains more information than historical … volatility. Also, a simple trading rule using historical volatility estimators is unable to exploit the forecast improvements …