This model adds to the standard neoclassical model of business fluctuations by introducing a more realistic capital structure problem, where firms have to balance the tax benefits of debt with the costs of potential financial distress.Therefore, firms solve a dynamic problem with both an...

The credit channel of monetary policy has both cross-sectional and timeseries implications for the reaction of the economy to monetary shocks. This paper focuses on the more rarely investigated time-series aspect and shows that the economy has varying sensitivity to monetary shocks over time. By...

This paper extends the literature on the information content of financial variables with respect to future economic growth. It shows that variables originating from both the equity market and the bond market in Switzerland are useful indicators for forecasting the Swiss business cycle. In...