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The effect of policy uncertainty on investment plans : evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland

Abberger, Klaus; Dibiasi, Andreas; Siegenthaler, Michael; … - 2016 - This version: May 2016

Does increased policy uncertainty dampen investment plans of firms? We provide direct evidence on this question by … induced policy uncertainty have revised their investment plans differently from those that did not perceive an increase in … uncertainty. We find strong evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty does lead firms to reduce their investment plans. As …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472000

The effect of policy uncertainty on investment plans : evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland

Abberger, Klaus; Dibiasi, Andreas; Siegenthaler, Michael; … - 2016 - This version: May 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458466

The use of qualitative business tendency surveys for forecasting business investment in Germany

Abberger, Klaus - 2005

Investment in equipment and machinery is a very important component of GDP. In this paper we examine whether data from … business tendency sur- veys are useful for a timely assessment of current investment behavior. In addition we investigate … whether the survey results are helpful for forecasting investment growth in the short run. The first question is addressed …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858476

The Global Economic Barometers : composite indicators for the world economy

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Campelo, Aloisio; … - 2020

This paper presents a coincident and a leading composite monthly indicator for the world business cycle - the Global Economic Barometers. Both target the world’s output growth rate cycle. The calculation of these indicators comprises two main stages. The first consists of a variable selection...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170717

The KOF Economic Barometer, version 2014 : a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2014

This paper presents a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth rate cycle concept. It is the result of a complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In line...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338122

The Ifo business cycle clock : circular correlation with the real GDP

Abberger, Klaus; Nierhaus, Wolfgang - 2010

The Ifo Business Climate is the most important indicator for the business cycle in Germany. In 1993 the connection between the two components of the business climate - business situation and business expectations - was graphically portrayed by Ifo in a 4-quadrant scheme: the Ifo Business Cycle...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697108

Imputing monthly values for quarterly time series : an application performed with Swiss business cycle data

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Müller, Oliver; … - 2022

This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency, where an information sub-set is collected at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482570

Imputing monthly values for quarterly time series : an application performed with Swiss business cycle data

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Müller, Oliver; … - 2022

This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data, in particular the KOF manufacturing surveys, which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472865