In this paper, we propose a new multivariate model for the dynamics of regional ocean freight rates. We show that a cointegrated system of regional spot freight rates can be decomposed into a common non-stationary market factor and stationary regional deviations. The resulting integrated CAR...

In this paper we set up the theoretical framework for the valuation of the Asian-style options traded in the freight derivatives market. Assuming lognormal spot freight dynamics, we show that Forward Freight Agreements (FFA) are also lognormal prior to the settlement period, but that this...

The article uses a real options valuation model with stochastic freight rates to investigate market efficiency and the economics of switching between the dry bulk and the tanker markets in international shipping. A dry bulk carrier is replaced with a tanker when the expected net present value of...

In the recent literature, empirical tests of stationarity of freight rates often conclude that spot freight rates are non-stationary processes. However, many maritime economists would argue that the freight rate cannot exhibit asymptotically explosive behaviour, as implied by non-stationarity,...

Despite the illiquid and heterogeneous nature of the second-hand market for bulk ships and the resulting difficulty of creating reliable time series of ship prices for generic ships, the literature on ship price dynamics relies heavily on time series models. In this paper we present, for the...