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, informed investors, and noise traders. Arbitrageurs face a trade-off between arbitrage and inference: they would like to buy … assets in response to temporary price declines (the arbitrage effect) but sell when prices decline permanently (the inference … effect). In equilibrium, the presence of arbitrageurs increases volatility when the inference effect dominates the arbitrage …
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We present estimates of the term structure of inflation expectations, derived from an affine model of real and nominal yield curves. The model features stochastic covariation of inflation with the real pricing kernel, enabling us to extract a time-varying inflation risk premium. We fit the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003812556
We investigate intermediary asset pricing theories empirically and find strong support for models that have intermediary leverage as the relevant state variable. A parsimonious model that uses detrended dealer leverage as a price-of-risk variable, and innovations to dealer leverage as a pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787499
Fluctuations in the aggregate balance sheets of financial intermediaries provide a window on the joint determination of asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates. We document that financial intermediary balance sheets contain strong predictive power for future excess returns on a broad set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948219
We investigate intermediary asset pricing theories empirically and find strong support for models that have intermediary leverage as the relevant state variable. A parsimonious model that uses de-trended dealer leverage as a price-of-risk variable, and innovations to dealer leverage as a pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076596
Fluctuations in the aggregate balance sheets of financial intermediaries provide a window on the joint determination of asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates. We document that financial intermediary balance sheets contain strong predictive power for future excess returns on a broad set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149404
We propose regression-based estimators for beta representations of dynamic asset pricing models with an affine pricing kernel specification. We allow for state variables that are cross-sectional pricing factors, forecasting variables for the price of risk, and factors that are both. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068063
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