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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2007

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and … policy was sustainable both for the EU15 panel set, and within subperiods (1970-1991 and 1992-2006). …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604866

Fiscal policy and growth: do financial crises make a difference?

Afonso, António; Grüner, Hans Peter; Kolerus, Christina - 2010

In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605263

What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU?: a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2008

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically … revenues. While sustainability may be lacking in individual cases, fiscal policy was overall sustainable both for the EU15 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264310

Spend-and-tax : a panel data investigation for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276304

Multi-step analysis of public finances sustainability

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - In: Economic modelling 48 (2015), pp. 199-209

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453706

Fiscal policy and the assessment of output gaps in real time : an exercise in risk management

Larch, Martin; Cugnasca, Alessandro; Kumps, Diederik; … - 2019

Fiscal policymakers are expected to conduct countercyclical policies to mitigate cyclical fluctuations of output, but the assessment of cyclical conditions in real time is subject to considerable uncertainty. They face two types of risk: (i) launching discretionary measures to support or dampen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999053