Can bad news about COVID-19 induce negative expectations on sovereign credit risks? We investigate the factors driving credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging market sovereigns around the outbreak of COVID-19. Using 2014-2019 data, we estimate a two-factor model of global and regional...

This case study compares the importance of prevailing market factors against COVID-19 dynamics and policy responses in explaining the daily evolution of emerging market (EM) sovereign CDS spreads during the first half of 2020. We adopt a two-stage econometric approach. In the first stage, we...

This study reports that numerous direct and indirect international risk-sharing mechanisms exist, including (1) self-insurance at the state level, (2) market-based tools, (3) international labor mobility, (4) implicit hedges provided by macroeconomic flexibility, and (5) transfers and access to...