Aizenman, Joshua; Hutchison, Michael Mercier; Jinjarak, … - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011
measures drop during the crisis, the TED spread, trade openness, external debt and inflation play a larger role. As … expectations of market volatility jumped during the crisis, the weakly concavity of creditors' payoff probably accounts for the … predicted accurately by the model either in-sample or out-of-sample: unpredicted high spreads are evident during global crisis …